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 Betreff des Beitrags: be in the wildcard hunt late
BeitragVerfasst: Fr 10. Jan 2020, 05:25 

Registriert: Fr 19. Apr 2019, 10:30
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I’m old enough to remember when teams that had the number one overall pick would make their intentions known even before the draft began. If you have the top pick and have no intention of trading..."I’m old enough to remember when teams that had the number one overall pick would make their intentions known even before the draft began. If you have the top pick and have no intention of trading it Womens Derek Carr Jersey , why not just make it clear what you’re doing?Well, the Cardinals aren’t subscribing to that this year. Maybe the Commish wants them to keep up the intrigue to make fans tune in from the start of the draft. Whatever the case, the Cardinals are playing their part to a tee. To the point that they’re claiming to keep the draft’s top four prospects in mind, and according to NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport, are going as far as to contact Quinnen Williams to let him know he’s still in the running.Despite their seeming waffling, few predictions are waffling on theirs. Most still believe the pick will be Kyler Murray, including ESPN’s Adam Schefter who said on ESPN that “All signs” point to Murray as the top pick.Even with the Cardinals taking Josh Rosen in last year’s draft, the talk is still about going QB again and trading Rosen. Should they go in another direction, it would figure to be a vote of confidence in Rosen.Quinnen Williams is worthy of the top pick so if he’s still there at four, he is certainly a possibility for the Raiders.Follow @LeviDamien Yesterday we used aggregate data from multiple quarterbacks around the league to predict Derek Carr’s 2019 statistical output. Today we look at how those projected numbers translate to the Raiders..." />Skip to main contentclockmenumore-arrownoyesSilver And Black Pride homepageHorizontal - WhiteSilver And Black Pridean Oakland Raiders communityFollow Silver And Black Pride online:Follow Silver And Black Pride on TwitterFollow Silver And Black Pride on FacebookLog in or sign upLog InSign UpSite searchSearchSearchSilver And Black Pride main menuFanpostsFanshotsRaidersOddsAboutMastheadCommunity GuidelinesStubHubMoreAll 321 blogs on Horizontal - WhiteFanposts Fanshots Raiders StoriesScheduleRosterStatsYahoo Raiders NewsYahoo Raiders Team PageYahoo Raiders ReportYahoo Raiders Depth ChartYahoo Raiders TransactionsYahoo Raiders PhotosOdds About Masthead Community Guidelines StubHub ✕Using projected Derek Carr numbers to predict Raiders 2019 win totalNew,74commentsPDTYesterday we used aggregate data from multiple quarterbacks around the league to predict Derek Carr’s 2019 statistical output. Today we look at how those projected numbers translate to the Raiders win totals.Using quarterback statistics from year 5 to year 6 and the second season playing in the same offensive system, some trends were identified. The percentage difference in quarterback stats from one season to the next were used to generate a low prediction, middle prediction, and high prediction for Derek Carr’s statistical output in 2019. Read the full study here.Low prediction: Passer rating 85.4, Adjusted net yards per attempt 5.77, completion percentage 69.2%, touchdowns 18, and yards 4151.Middle prediction: Passer rating 97, ANY/A 6.75 Womens Antonio Brown Jersey , completion percentage 70.5%, touchdowns 22, and yards 4324.High prediction: Passer rating 108.6, ANY/A 7.72, completion percentage 71.8%, touchdowns 25, and yards 4497.This conversation is good and well, but how does it translate to wins on the field? Quarterback statistics can be volatile and aren’t always the best marker for predicting wins vs losses considering it ignores the other side of the football entirely. However there is a correlation between quarterback production and wins more so than any other single position on the football field.Looking back at the past 3 seasons there are some takeaways as far as passing statistics that point to what the Raiders record will look like pending the production from the Quarterback position.Automatic thresholdsto a winning record.That being said in most categories there is a steady positive progression as stats improve so do wins. Touchdowns is one category where this isn’t completely true considering between 5 and 8 wins quarterbacks threw between 21 and 23 touchdown passes on average. Yards is another statistic that shows confusing correlation to wins. Between 6 and 11 wins quarterbacks threw between 3700 and 3900 yards, essentially no difference.The statistics in this study that served to best predict win totals were ANY/A, passer rating, and completion percentage in that order. Using only those statistics and attempting to make a prediction for the Raiders record in 2019 lets go back to the 2019 low, medium and high predictions for Derek Carr’s 2019.If Derek Carr hits the low prediction numbers, according to data taken from the last 3 seasons, the Raiders should win 7 gamesIf Carr hits the medium prediction numbers the Raiders should win 9 games.If Carr hits the high prediction numbers the Raiders should win 11 games.It’s important to note these numbers have been aggregated from objective sources and NFL stats only. There is no opinion in this study and the bias only comes from the timeframe in which these stats were taken. The middle prediction, likely the safest one, suggest the Raiders could be in the wildcard hunt late in the season and at least register a winning season in 2019. Notes:When compared to the 43 quarterbacks who started at least 8 games in a season over the past 3 years, Derek Carr ranked:17th in composite statistical standings14th in total QB wins24th in QB wins per season playedThese numbers are very middle of the road figures for the Raiders franchise QB. If Carr isn’t able to make a jump in his second season under Gruden then the Raiders would be smart to see if they can upgrade the position. While Carr certainly has not been terrible, he also hasn’t been great except for arguably one season. In 2016 Carr’s composite statistics ranked 25th out of 85 qualifying quarterbacks in the past 3 years and 8th best that season. Carr needs to improve immensely to solidify his status as the unquestioned starter. This truly is a make or break year for him.


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